Focus on Ag

ACRE Program Decisions for 2013

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Following are some key points to consider regarding the ACRE Program for 2013:

  • Producers are encouraged to analyze situations and scenarios that are more favorable for ACRE enrollment for 2013, as well as situations where the best option may be continuing with the traditional DCP farm program. The national average price threshold to reach ACRE payments at average yields in Minnesota for the 2013 crop year for corn will likely be around $4.50/bu., and near $11.75/bu. for soybeans, rising to around $5/bu. for corn and just above $13/bu. for soybeans, with a 10% yield decrease from the statewide average yield.
  • Remember, the later that planting is delayed in Minnesota past mid-May, especially for corn, the statewide average yield potential usually declines, which greatly improves the chances of ACRE payments. It appears that we may be headed for that type of year in 2013.
  • Also remember, that the national average price for corn and soybeans that is used to determine potential 2013 ACRE payments is from Sept. 1, 2013 to Aug. 31, 2014. Most analysts expect some price challenges in the next couple of years; however, pending 2013 weather scenarios could change the price forecasts in the coming months.
  • Even though the ACRE program has not paid out for corn and soybeans in Minnesota in past years, and will likely not result in an ACRE payment for the 2012 crop year, producers should not automatically “write-off” ACRE program enrollment for the 2013 crop year. The increases in the ACRE revenue guarantees for 2013 will increase the likelihood of ACRE payments for the 2013 crop year for corn and soybeans, as compared to previous years.
  • Current new-crop prices for 2013 have been just above $5/bu. for corn, and near $11.50 for soybeans, which are getting closer to the necessary 12-month national average price levels (9-01-13 to 8-31-14) needed to earn an ACRE payment for the 2013 crop year on corn and soybeans.
  • Kent Thiesse has prepared a more complete discussion of the 2013 ACRE program, including some analysis tables. To receive a copy of the ACRE information, please send an e-mail to kent.thiesse@minnstarbank.com.
  • The University of Illinois also has an excellent spreadsheet for analyzing potential 2013 ACRE payments for various crops in Minnesota and other states on their farmdoc website.

 

Editor’s note: Kent Thiesse is a former University of Minnesota Extension educator and now is Vice President of MinnStar Bank, Lake Crystal, MN. You can contact him at 507-726-2137 or via e-mail at kent.thiesse@minnstarbank.com.

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