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  • Dec 16, 2014
    blog

    Strategies for managing profit in agriculture during a down cycle

    The reality has set in that grain prices, cash flow and profit margins will be modest at best. Whether this part of the cycle correction will be one, two, or even five years or more in duration, farmers and their lenders will have to manage through these economic white waters....More
  • Dec 15, 2014
    blog

    Why I believe corn, soybean prices will move higher

    When you get major "headline-risk" like we are seeing in the energy markets, coupled with lower than normal trade volume, all bets are off in regard to traditional fundamental rhyme and reason....More
  • Dec 9, 2014
    blog

    Agriculture financial management: Working capital burn rate

    If your working capital burn rate is less than one year, it would be considered high risk. Above 3.5 years is indicative of a strong second line of defense and of course, between one and 3.5 years would be considered acceptable, but not stellar. To say the least, this winter and next year will be a balancing act as farmers juggle quickly converting liquid assets to cash to keep their businesses in operation....More
  • Dec 9, 2014
    blog

    Fine tune 2015 profit margins for your farm: Land rental rates, production expenses

    The combination of lower projected corn prices and soybean prices in 2015, together with nearly steady input costs for seed, fertilizer, and chemicals, will limit estimated potential returns over direct expenses and land costs, at average crop yields. Another major variable in breakeven levels in crop production are loan payments on capital investments such as farm machinery, facilities and land purchases....More
  • Dec 5, 2014
    blog

    Will soybean demand push stocks lower?

    Soybeans enjoyed another week of better-than-expected export sales. In its wake the trade continues to believe the USDA will soon be forced to raise their current export estimates by 25 to 50 million. Hopefully we see this take place next Wednesday in the upcoming December USDA report....More
  • Dec 2, 2014
    blog

    Finalizing custom rates for 2014

    An analysis of some of the more common custom rates in the 2014 Iowa Custom Rate Survey showed that the listed “average” custom rates for some farming practices may be a bit low, given the higher ownership costs of larger farm machinery, higher fuel expenses that have existed in 2014, and the difficult field conditions that existed in some areas....More
  • Dec 2, 2014
    blog

    What happens when repayment fails?

    Throughout the country many lenders and producers dealing with the grain industry may face situations when repayment is not possible this winter and into 2015. With high cash rents and leases, along with input cost creep, there is a strong possibility that 2014 and 2015 may not cash flow and may show negative repayment capacity for many grain producers. Now what?...More

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