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  • Nov 14, 2014
    blog

    Is South American weather worse than the soybean trade recognizes?

    As a producer I still want to remain patient. Don't be surprised or panicked though if we start to see the trade backpedal a bit as Chinese demand and U.S. rail lose a little sizzle....More
  • Nov 11, 2014
    blog

    Does the corn market's bullish USDA news have traders thinking twice?

    Seasoned traders will tell you: When a corn market fails to rally (as it did on Nov. 10) on a bullish headline, it's a market that may be headed for more downhill price action. I tend to concur....More
  • Oct 31, 2014
    blog

    Execute in the soybean market; reduce additional risk on the rally

    As a producer I continue to believe "best-of-practice" is to reduce additional risk on the rally. I now have 100% of our 2014 production priced and will be exclusively looking for ways to improve my basis levels or re-own existing sales in the weeks ahead....More
  • Oct 28, 2014
    blog

    Will corn prices increase as freezing temps approach? 2

    Corn pulled higher by soymeal spot demand/logistics as freezing temps are forecast to show up this weekend....More
  • Oct 17, 2014
    blog

    Will weather in South American support soybean prices? 2

    Growth in supply has clearly outpaced growth in demand. It's going to take a little bit of time, but eventually I suspect the wrinkles get ironed out and prices start to stabilize (I just don't think we are there yet). Producers should remain patient, keeping all soybean hedges in place, and use any extended "geopolitical" or "weather" related rallies to reduce additional long-term risk....More
  • Sep 30, 2014
    blog

    Market surprise from grain stocks report?

    USDA released their September quarterly stocks report and the markets are lower across the board. No real surprises in my opinion! Some of you however might be surprised when you see the soybean market lower on sub-100 million ending stocks numbers....More
  • Sep 12, 2014
    blog

    Will soybean prices stabilize?

    As a producer I see nothing wrong starting to unwind a very small portion of your remaining soybean short hedges. The break has paid huge dividends and there is absolutely no need to get overly greedy....More
  • Aug 5, 2014
    blog

    Can soybeans transition to a bullish story? 1

    The soybean "technicians" are looking back at prices noticing that they are at the same levels as they were on July11th.  Many are also noting that a "key bullish reversal" could be building.  As I have mentioned over the past several reports, we are definitely in the midst of a major weather market, but we are also transitioning from a bullish old crop story to a potentially extremely bearish new crop story....More
  • Aug 1, 2014
    blog

    Weather helping soybean yield 2

    Several well respected sources think that we could see the current USDA bean yield estimate of 45.2bpa, be pushed higher by up 3-4%, meaning a 46.5bpa to 47bpa, may not be out of the question. A jump in yields that substantial could push ending stocks north of 500 million bushels and prices below $10.00....More
  • Jul 22, 2014
    blog

    Can soybean demand keep grain prices afloat? 2

    I suspect with Chinese demand staying strong, some definite uncertainties remaining in Argentina and the entire month of August still ahead of our U.S. crop, the trade may take a bit slower approach to reducing price-risk. Producers should continue to keep hedges in place. Any rally back towards the $11.00 to $11.30 range must be viewed as an opportunity to reduce longer-term risk....More
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