Grain Market Viewpoint http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/73091/feed en Can soybeans transition to a bullish story? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybeans-transition-bullish-story <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>The soybean &quot;technicians&quot; are looking back at prices noticing that they are at the same levels as they were on July11th. &nbsp;Many are also noting that a &quot;key bullish reversal&quot; could be building. &nbsp;As I have mentioned over the past several reports, we are definitely in the midst of a major weather market, but we are also transitioning from a bullish old crop story to a potentially extremely bearish new crop story.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybeans-transition-bullish-story" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybeans-transition-bullish-story#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Tue, 05 Aug 2014 21:33:00 +0000 92541 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Weather helping soybean yield http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/weather-helping-soybean-yield <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>Several well respected sources think that we could see the current USDA bean yield estimate of 45.2bpa, be pushed higher by up 3-4%, meaning a 46.5bpa to 47bpa, may not be out of the question. A jump in yields that substantial could push ending stocks north of 500 million bushels and prices below $10.00.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/weather-helping-soybean-yield" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/weather-helping-soybean-yield#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Fri, 01 Aug 2014 19:01:00 +0000 92431 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Will weather and money flow support corn prices? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/will-weather-and-money-flow-support-corn-prices <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>There is a huge amount of dry powder on the side line to push prices higher if the weather can provide some questions on the way to the finish line. Even with the cooler temps and limited moisture going into the final stages of corn production, yields could see some of the top knocked off and support prices.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/will-weather-and-money-flow-support-corn-prices" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/will-weather-and-money-flow-support-corn-prices#comments Corn Marketing corn production Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Options Prices Grain Market Viewpoint Tue, 29 Jul 2014 21:27:00 +0000 92371 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Can soybean demand keep grain prices afloat? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybean-demand-keep-grain-prices-afloat <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>I suspect with Chinese demand staying strong, some definite uncertainties remaining in Argentina and the entire month of August still ahead of our U.S. crop, the trade may take a bit slower approach to reducing price-risk. Producers should continue to keep hedges in place. Any rally back towards the $11.00 to $11.30 range must be viewed as an opportunity to reduce longer-term risk. </p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybean-demand-keep-grain-prices-afloat" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/can-soybean-demand-keep-grain-prices-afloat#comments Corn Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Tue, 22 Jul 2014 20:41:00 +0000 92261 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Is it time to lock in propane prices? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/it-time-lock-propane-prices <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>I continue to field calls from farmers asking about locking in propane prices. I think this is​ a​ very smart play and something I have definitely been recommending for the past couple of weeks, at least on ​a ​significant portion of your fall and winter needs. Personally, I think securing 70% of your estimated needs makes a lot of sense at these levels. ​ I am NOT saying we don&#39;t have the propane to meet our needs here in the US, because we do.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/it-time-lock-propane-prices" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/it-time-lock-propane-prices#comments Equipment Issues Marketing Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Fri, 11 Jul 2014 19:11:00 +0000 92051 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Make smart risk management moves when marketing soybeans http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/make-smart-risk-management-moves-when-marketing-soybeans <div class="node-body blog-body">Soybeans continue to try and break downhill slalom records (breaking over a $1.30 in the past 8 trading sessions) on thoughts of a mammoth new-crop coming down the pipe and talk that many U.S. crushers are claiming to have enough coverage to make it through August, possibly holding out until U.S. southern new-crop bushels hit the supply pipeline.</div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/make-smart-risk-management-moves-when-marketing-soybeans" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/make-smart-risk-management-moves-when-marketing-soybeans#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Wed, 09 Jul 2014 16:34:00 +0000 91991 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Are soybeans headed for $10? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybeans-headed-10 <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>Soybean acres could get even larger from here. What if yield comes in better than 45 bushels per acre? All of a sudden we are looking at ending stocks of 400-500 million bushels and the trade taking about sub-$10 soybeans.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybeans-headed-10" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybeans-headed-10#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Options Grain Market Viewpoint Tue, 01 Jul 2014 20:15:00 +0000 91901 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Soybeans continue to support the grain market http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-continue-support-grain-market <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>It seems the soybean market has to deliver a spectacular performance each and every day or in general, the entire ag sector seems a bit disappointed. This bullish demeanor, or tilt to the market, in my opinion, has caused some traders to take several ill-advised shots on goal the past few months.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-continue-support-grain-market" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-continue-support-grain-market#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Tue, 24 Jun 2014 13:19:00 +0000 91751 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Soybeans could have one last rally http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-could-have-one-last-rally <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>From a "spread" perspective, I continue to hear talk form many traders who suspect the old-crop/new-crop spread (now at it's lowest level since mid-Feb) will continue to deteriorate – at least through the June 30th report. From there it's believed we could see a late inning rally and perhaps one last hurrah!</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-could-have-one-last-rally" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-could-have-one-last-rally#comments Marketing Soybeans soybean production Prices Strategy Grain Market Viewpoint Wed, 18 Jun 2014 12:49:00 +0000 91661 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Why You MUST Pay Attention To Iraq http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/why-you-must-pay-attention-iraq <div class="node-body blog-body">Oil prices could skyrocket to $200 per barrel </div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/why-you-must-pay-attention-iraq" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/why-you-must-pay-attention-iraq#comments Energy Marketing Fuel Grain Market Viewpoint Mon, 16 Jun 2014 13:08:00 +0000 91581 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Market your old-crop corn bushels http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/market-your-old-crop-corn-bushels <div class="node-body blog-body"><p>Dumping the old-crop bushels and holding off on any new-crop sales obviously makes the most sense. It creates cash-flow, frees up available storage and buys lots of additional time. Also with new-crop prices well below the spring revenue insurance guarantee of $4.62 per bushel, I see no real need to start making new-crop sales at this stage. </p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/market-your-old-crop-corn-bushels" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/market-your-old-crop-corn-bushels#comments Corn Marketing Futures Marketing and Promotion Options Grain Market Viewpoint Fri, 13 Jun 2014 20:47:00 +0000 91551 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Are soybean cash markets telling a different story? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybean-cash-markets-telling-different-story <div class="node-body blog-body">Soybean bears are wondering if the cash markets might be telling a slightly different story than the balance sheet bulls are projecting. The bears are also thinking the USDA will revise last years soybean crop higher by some 15 to 25 million bushels. The question the bulls are asking is how much higher will domestic crush and export demand be raised?</div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybean-cash-markets-telling-different-story" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/are-soybean-cash-markets-telling-different-story#comments Marketing Soybeans Forward Contracts Futures Hedge-to-arrive Hedges Marketing and Promotion Options Strategy Grain Market Viewpoint Fri, 06 Jun 2014 20:37:00 +0000 91441 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Patience at this stage of the game is "best of practice" for most US producers. http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/patience-stage-game-best-practice-most-us-producers <div class="node-body blog-body">After trading to almost $5.15 per bushel (just 17 trading sessions back, on May 6th to be exact) the new-crop DEC14 contract has dropped some $0.60 cents per bushel. I'm not calling this a bottom or looking for a complete turnaround, but I do think</div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/patience-stage-game-best-practice-most-us-producers" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/patience-stage-game-best-practice-most-us-producers#comments Corn Marketing Corn Hedges Grain Market Viewpoint Wed, 04 Jun 2014 13:07:00 +0000 91351 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Fresh NEW Soybean highs or has the party finally ended??? http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/fresh-new-soybean-highs-or-has-party-finally-ended <div class="node-body blog-body"><div> Soybean &quot;technicians&quot; continue to look for the market to tip its hand in one direction or the other as for a clue if we will make another run to fresh NEW highs or has the party finally ended???&nbsp;</div> <div> &nbsp;</div> <div> The old-crop JUL14 contract high of $15.36^6 posted last Thursday might be out of the question, especially if you take into account the upcoming Index roll.</div></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/fresh-new-soybean-highs-or-has-party-finally-ended" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/fresh-new-soybean-highs-or-has-party-finally-ended#comments Soybeans Soybean Grain Market Viewpoint Fri, 30 May 2014 14:01:00 +0000 91251 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com Soybeans: It's only when the tide goes out you discover who was swimming naked http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-its-only-when-tide-goes-out-you-discover-who-was-swimming-naked <div class="node-body blog-body"><div> From what I am hearing most end-users are about 65-75% covered through July but have next to nothing done for August. Obviously <em>everybody is hoping imports</em> will help resolve the situation, but no one is clearly certain about how this game will end.&nbsp;</div> <div> &nbsp;</div> <p>Soybean traders are digesting the fact the US planting pace is now AHEAD of our traditional average. &nbsp;The USDA released data yesterday showing that 59% of the crop is now planted vs. 41% last year and 56% on average. In addition 25% of the crop is now &quot;emerged&quot; vs.</p></div> <div class="og_rss_groups"><ul class="links"><li class="og_links first last"><a href="/blog/grain-market-viewpoint"> Grain Market Viewpoint</a></li> </ul></div><p><a href="http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-its-only-when-tide-goes-out-you-discover-who-was-swimming-naked" target="_blank">read more</a></p> http://cornandsoybeandigest.com/blog/soybeans-its-only-when-tide-goes-out-you-discover-who-was-swimming-naked#comments Corn Marketing Business Corn Marketing and Promotion Strategy Precipitation Grain Market Viewpoint Wed, 28 May 2014 14:29:00 +0000 91201 at http://cornandsoybeandigest.com