More in Business

  • May 28, 2014
    blog

    Soybeans: It's only when the tide goes out you discover who was swimming naked 1

    From what I am hearing most end-users are about 65-75% covered through July but have next to nothing done for August. Obviously everybody is hoping imports will help resolve the situation, but no one is clearly certain about how this game will end.    Soybean traders are digesting the fact the US planting pace is now AHEAD of our traditional average.  The USDA released data yesterday showing that 59% of the crop is now planted vs. 41% last year and 56% on average. In addition 25% of the crop is now "emerged" vs....More
  • May 27, 2014
    blog

    2014 Custom farming agreements 1

    Although the concept of a custom farming agreement is simple, close communication between the custom operator and the landowner is essential. A written contract for the custom farming agreement should definitely be prepared that specifies the amount of payment by the landowner to the custom operator, and all other pertinent details....More
  • May 27, 2014
    blog

    Economic indicators and confusing signals 1

    The U.S. economy is showing mixed signals. The lead economic index (LEI) which foretells the future of the economy has been increasing in recent months, most recently up 0.4%, which is bullish for the economy. Sixty percent of the factors that make up the LEI are exhibiting positive signs....More
  • May 27, 2014
    blog

    Soybeans: The game has changed

    The bear's continue to argue from a longer-term perspective, wanting to discount the current tight conditions in the old-crop balance sheet as something that will eventually be solved by imports, and focus more intently on record US acreage going in the ground, near ideal growing conditions and a very large South American crop that is all but out of the ground....More
  • May 23, 2014
    blog

    Argentina’s Peso In Trouble Again? Can the large Soybean surplus turn to a more concerning situation?

    Argentina’s peso has remained mostly stable since the end of March, but in the past few days, the country’s central bank (BRCA) has allowed it to start weakening again. This follows a steady reduction in interest rates that’s been ongoing for the last month, which now stands 26.9%, far below the inflation rate, which most analysts believe is close to 40%....More
  • May 22, 2014
    blog

    3 elements of today's soybean market whiplash

    Bears continue to feel the pain and side-effects of Injuries sustained by the sudden and unexpected jerking of the markets higher. I continue to monitor both the NOV14 and NOV15 soybean contracts in hopes of making another round of sales and further reducing downside risk and exposure....More
  • May 21, 2014
    blog

    Corn Bulls point to less wheat feeding! Bears are circling the wagons. 1

    The bears are arguing this number is too high considering it hasn't been adjusted in months and therefore hasn't fairly taken into account the negative effects and impact of the...More
  • May 20, 2014
    blog

    Lessons learned from the student athlete 1

    The hour and a half flight to Roanoke seemed like ten minutes as the discussion flowed from investment strategies, to the state of the U.S. and global economy, to federal debt. To my delight, I discovered the head coach actually teaches political science at Whitewater and was interested in my thoughts not only on economics, but also geopolitical trends, with his students actually listening. In discussions with key players, they indicated that the coach not only taught them basketball, but much about life as well....More
  • May 9, 2014
    blog

    Corn bulls demand story: Fundamentals versus logic 1

    From my perspective it's NOT traditional fundamental market logic that is dictating corn price direction but rather the rotation of money from various other forms of investments that have fallen out of favor....More
  • May 8, 2014
    Commentary

    Farmland a great documentary 1

    Last night I was fortunate to attend a private screening in Minneapolis of the new consumer-focused documentary, Farmland....More
  • Apr 29, 2014
    blog

    How long will corn prices get a lift from slow planting? 1

    Corn planting pace lifts prices higher, will trend continue...More
  • Apr 29, 2014
    blog

    Ag lender’s role in agriculture business succession: Part 1 2

    Approximately 85% of agricultural businesses have no estate or transition plan in place. One of the most helpful resources a producer can draw upon in this challenging task is their agricultural lender....More
  • Apr 22, 2014
    blog

    Thoughts on farm transition management 1

    At a recent seminar, panelists concluded that there is no cookie-cutter template for farm transition, and that each plan must be customized to meet the needs of the generations, partners and stakeholders involved. Family business meetings need to be held off-site with agendas and minutes, creating a paper trail as a means of communication for all parties....More
  • Apr 15, 2014
    blog

    Ag lender perspectives: transition, interest rates, land values 1

    Interest rates, land values and cash flow are top of mind topics in the agricultural world. Expect ag lenders to financially shock test your cash flow statement for a 1%, 2% and 3% rise in variable interest rates. Lenders will be much more conservative now when lending against land values particularly in the red-hot land markets of the Midwest and the upper Midwest. Expect to invest more equity and cash in your growth and expansion projects....More
  • Apr 8, 2014
    blog

    Is weather affecting economic indicators? 1

    One major questions people have asked David Kohl this winter is whether the “blah” economic indicators, domestically and globally, are the result of bad weather. Here he examine some of the lead and lag economic indicators to ascertain any apparent trends....More
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