More in Marketing and Promotion

  • Jul 14, 2015
    blog

    Don't reduce soybean price risk just yet

    Deteriorating crop conditions and weather concerns in U.S. and India are supporting soybean prices right now. Add in prevented plant acres and Chinese demand, and theres more upside risk than downside, says Kevin Van Trump....More
  • Jul 10, 2015
    blog

    USDA adjusts corn, soybean ending stocks; prices react

    USDA Lowers ending stocks for corn and beans, Corn and bean prices go higher as pipeline of grain shrinks, USDA lowers last years crop,...More
  • Jul 7, 2015
    blog

    Will the USDA lower soybean yields in July supply and demand report?

    Soybean bears were happy to see overall soybean crop conditions left unchanged at 63% good/excellent. The bulls, however, are arguing there are still an estimated 14 million soybean acres at risk if you include all the unplanted acres (still over 3 million), those planted but not yet emerged, and those acres which are currently in poor/very poor condition....More
  • Jun 26, 2015
    blog

    What's ahead of the USDA report for corn and soybeans?

    The soybean story has become much sexier than it was in late May and or early June. Not only is U.S. weather more of a concern, but there is also more talk that the USDA may have overestimated last years production. The corn bulls report too much moisture in many locations is causing shallow root systems and loss of nitrogen. The corn bears continue to talk about the possibility of the USDA delivering a couple of bearish blows in the form of increased planted acreage and record setting quarterly stocks....More
  • Jun 16, 2015
    blog

    3 Factors pointing to less soybean acres

    As a producers, I believe the best-of-practice is to remain patient and keep all hedges in place. Yes, there could be some upside movement as thoughts about acres are readjusted, but I'm just not sure we can sustain much of a longer-term upside rally without some type of more negative headlines out of South America....More
  • Jun 9, 2015
    blog

    Is the top end of corn yield already clipped?

    corn yields, wet conditions, weather...More
  • May 26, 2015
    blog

    Will on-farm storage be the Achilles heel for corn?

    Corn traders this afternoon will be digesting the latest weekly USDA crop-condition estimates. Most inside the trade believe at least 90% of the corn crop is now planted with a very large percentage actually emerged, both running ahead of schedule. Perhaps even more impressive is the fact 77% or more of the U.S. corn crop could be considered in good-to-excellent condition....More
  • May 22, 2015
    blog

    Will the corn upside opportunity come later in the game?

    Corn exports remain stronger than many inside the trade had anticipated despite the strength in the U.S. dollar. Just keep in mind we will still more than likely export about 5% less corn than we did last year....More
  • May 12, 2015
    blog

    Has the game changed for soybeans?

    Soybeans remain fundamentally bearish as U.S. planting is reported at 31% complete, and well ahead of the 5-year 20% average. As a producer I'm content on staying patient and waiting for a move back above $10.00. As a spec I like the sideline!...More
  • May 8, 2015
    blog

    Can macro markets and U.S. dollar give soybean prices a bounce?

    Soybean traders seem to be keeping a close eye on the macro markets, particularly the direction of the U.S. dollar and the direction of crude oil. Market insiders continue to believe a weaker dollar and gains in crude oil will continue to add strength in the soybean market....More
  • May 1, 2015
    blog

    How high can corn prices go without a weather story?

    There's never been a crop year yet that didn't start off without concerns surrounding weather. The problem is, as of right now this doesn't equate to facts the bulls can use to build a case against the bears. In the courtroom of trading, the "what ifs" surrounding weather are simply considered hearsay and not permissible as actual evidence....More
  • Apr 28, 2015
    blog

    Are all the bearish cards out of the deck for soybeans?

    Soybean bears continue to think the slow planting pace of U.S. corn in the south and to the east will ultimately mean more soybean acres....More
  • Apr 24, 2015
    blog

    Global corn data could be more bullish

    Corn has backpedaled to fresh new six-month lows as bulls continue to talk about better-than-expected U.S. export demand and problematic planting weather. The primary concerns for the bulls continue to be conditions being too wet out east and to the south....More
  • Apr 17, 2015
    blog

    Are the cards stacked against the soybean market?

    Soybean bulls continue to talk about wet conditions in southern Brazil and many parts of Argentina. Their argument is it could delay harvest and create a bit more interest for U.S supplies. Be careful buying into this belief....More
  • Apr 10, 2015
    blog

    Is a bullish weather card still in the deck for corn?

    With the weather wild-card still floating around, I think best practice is to simply remain patient and wait for a move higher to reduce any additional new-crop or old-crop risk....More
  • Apr 7, 2015
    blog

    Will U.S. planting delays keep the bulls fed? 2

    Corn continues to trade in a sideways channel as both the bulls and bears defend their case. The bulls continue to talk about planting delays down South caused by conditions that are too wet, while those in the northern Corn Belt are talking about conditions being too dry....More
  • Mar 27, 2015
    blog

    Time to minimize risk and leave hedges in place

    Corn traders seem to be squaring up positions as we are now only a couple of days from the highly anticipated Prospective Planting Report and USDA Quarterly Stocks data....More
  • Mar 20, 2015
    blog

    Can South America news support soybean prices?

    Without the problematic political and labor headlines out of South America and no leverage from the weather at this point, soybean bulls are facing an increasingly tough uphill battle. Crush margins are drastically backpedaling here in the U.S., and South American exporters are clearly starting to get their legs underneath them....More
  • Mar 17, 2015
    blog

    Is U.S. weather, acreage uncertainty enough to push corn prices higher?

    There's really nothing excitingly bullish in the balance sheet, but the trade is eager to see what type of planting conditions U.S. producers will be forced to deal with. This uncertainty may temporarily prove to be enough to keep some type of price floor in place for new-crop contracts....More
  • Mar 10, 2015
    blog

    USDA WASDE report has bears and bulls jockeying for position in the corn market

    Corn continues to trade sideways and struggles to take out nearby technical resistance. The USDA numbers in the March 2015 WASDE report did little to change the current theme. Remember: it's early in the race and both the bullish and bearish traders are jockeying for inside position....More
  • Mar 6, 2015
    blog

    Will consolidation lead to a breakout for corn prices?

    Corn exports, along with overall demand, remain strong. There is some talk that basis levels in both Ukraine and Argentina are firming as farmer selling starts to taper off. Here at home, there's some talk the basis may weaken between now and the end of March as farmers need to free up cash to pay pre-season bills....More
  • Mar 3, 2015
    blog

    Is the soybean market headed for the bears?

    From a technical standpoint the market also looks as if it may be in jeopardy of building a more bearish formation. If political unrest is resolved in Brazil and the soybeans start moving more aggressively to the ports and if Chinese demand stays strong, old-crop prices could be subject to 50¢ or more of almost immediate downside pressure....More
  • Feb 20, 2015
    blog

    Will we see a bullish corn weather card?

    Corn traders seemed little surprised by the USDA's estimate of 89 million corn acres being planted in 2015 vs. the 90.6 million planted in 2014. More of a surprise might be by the continued strength in demand for the ethanol sector....More
  • Feb 17, 2015
    blog

    2 factors that could push corn prices higher

    Corn traders will be eager to hear the latest data released at the USDA Ag Forum scheduled for this Thursday and Friday. There will also likely be more traders paying closer attention to the planting progress of second-crop corn in Brazil....More
  • Feb 13, 2015
    blog

    Market dynamics to push soybean prices higher

    As I pointed out weeks ago, politics and logistics can often be more of an uncertainty in South America than actual production. As long as the world needs or is relying on South America for supplies, the trade could remain nervous....More

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