More in Marketing and Promotion

  • Mar 27, 2015
    blog

    Time to minimize risk and leave hedges in place

    Corn traders seem to be squaring up positions as we are now only a couple of days from the highly anticipated Prospective Planting Report and USDA Quarterly Stocks data....More
  • Mar 20, 2015
    blog

    Can South America news support soybean prices?

    Without the problematic political and labor headlines out of South America and no leverage from the weather at this point, soybean bulls are facing an increasingly tough uphill battle. Crush margins are drastically backpedaling here in the U.S., and South American exporters are clearly starting to get their legs underneath them....More
  • Mar 17, 2015
    blog

    Is U.S. weather, acreage uncertainty enough to push corn prices higher?

    There's really nothing excitingly bullish in the balance sheet, but the trade is eager to see what type of planting conditions U.S. producers will be forced to deal with. This uncertainty may temporarily prove to be enough to keep some type of price floor in place for new-crop contracts....More
  • Mar 10, 2015
    blog

    USDA WASDE report has bears and bulls jockeying for position in the corn market

    Corn continues to trade sideways and struggles to take out nearby technical resistance. The USDA numbers in the March 2015 WASDE report did little to change the current theme. Remember: it's early in the race and both the bullish and bearish traders are jockeying for inside position....More
  • Mar 6, 2015
    blog

    Will consolidation lead to a breakout for corn prices?

    Corn exports, along with overall demand, remain strong. There is some talk that basis levels in both Ukraine and Argentina are firming as farmer selling starts to taper off. Here at home, there's some talk the basis may weaken between now and the end of March as farmers need to free up cash to pay pre-season bills....More
  • Mar 3, 2015
    blog

    Is the soybean market headed for the bears?

    From a technical standpoint the market also looks as if it may be in jeopardy of building a more bearish formation. If political unrest is resolved in Brazil and the soybeans start moving more aggressively to the ports and if Chinese demand stays strong, old-crop prices could be subject to 50¢ or more of almost immediate downside pressure....More
  • Feb 20, 2015
    blog

    Will we see a bullish corn weather card?

    Corn traders seemed little surprised by the USDA's estimate of 89 million corn acres being planted in 2015 vs. the 90.6 million planted in 2014. More of a surprise might be by the continued strength in demand for the ethanol sector....More
  • Feb 17, 2015
    blog

    2 factors that could push corn prices higher

    Corn traders will be eager to hear the latest data released at the USDA Ag Forum scheduled for this Thursday and Friday. There will also likely be more traders paying closer attention to the planting progress of second-crop corn in Brazil....More
  • Feb 13, 2015
    blog

    Market dynamics to push soybean prices higher

    As I pointed out weeks ago, politics and logistics can often be more of an uncertainty in South America than actual production. As long as the world needs or is relying on South America for supplies, the trade could remain nervous....More
  • Feb 6, 2015
    blog

    The secret to improving your grain marketing

    Anybody can market $8 corn but it takes a great marketing plan to market $4 corn. Know your strengths and weaknesses; consistency is key to your corn and soybean marketing plan. Make a strong commitment to executing your marketing plan....More
  • Feb 3, 2015
    blog

    Does corn rally give us a chance to market old-crop bushels?

    Those producers who are still holding old-crop bushels need to be considering all the moving parts and specifics that apply to your particular area and situation. Make sure you are talking with your advisor about best-of-practice ways to be limiting your remaining downside risk....More
  • Jan 30, 2015
    blog

    Will lower crude oil prices increase soybean sales to China? 1

    I continue to believe the herd has taken on a "sell the rallies" type mentality. This will obviously keep a lid on prices and make getting back above $10 near-term a tough task....More
  • Jan 23, 2015
    blog

    Will strong corn exports push acres higher?

    On the supply side of the equation, most sources are talking about U.S. producers perhaps going back with more corn next year. The fall in soybean prices coupled with the new farm bill policy, corn has quickly become a more viable option....More
  • Jan 9, 2015
    blog

    Cutting through the details: My thoughts on Monday's USDA data dump

    Moral of the story, don't overthink this market and do not get overly convicted to your preconceived ideas or thoughts. This is simply about reducing your risk and turning a profit. The easier you can accomplish this goal the better your going to be....More
  • Dec 31, 2014
    blog

    Will the funds continue to place bullish bets on corn, soybeans?

    As a producer, I continue to hold out for slightly higher corn prices before pulling the trigger on additional sales. From a spec perspective, I prefer being a longer-term buyer on a deeper break. And I am sticking with the thought that higher soybean prices might be in our near-term future....More
  • Dec 15, 2014
    blog

    Why I believe corn, soybean prices will move higher 1

    When you get major "headline-risk" like we are seeing in the energy markets, coupled with lower than normal trade volume, all bets are off in regard to traditional fundamental rhyme and reason....More
  • Dec 5, 2014
    blog

    Will soybean demand push stocks lower?

    Soybeans enjoyed another week of better-than-expected export sales. In its wake the trade continues to believe the USDA will soon be forced to raise their current export estimates by 25 to 50 million. Hopefully we see this take place next Wednesday in the upcoming December USDA report....More
  • Nov 14, 2014
    blog

    Is South American weather worse than the soybean trade recognizes?

    As a producer I still want to remain patient. Don't be surprised or panicked though if we start to see the trade backpedal a bit as Chinese demand and U.S. rail lose a little sizzle....More
  • Nov 11, 2014
    blog

    Does the corn market's bullish USDA news have traders thinking twice?

    Seasoned traders will tell you: When a corn market fails to rally (as it did on Nov. 10) on a bullish headline, it's a market that may be headed for more downhill price action. I tend to concur....More
  • Oct 31, 2014
    blog

    Execute in the soybean market; reduce additional risk on the rally

    As a producer I continue to believe "best-of-practice" is to reduce additional risk on the rally. I now have 100% of our 2014 production priced and will be exclusively looking for ways to improve my basis levels or re-own existing sales in the weeks ahead....More
  • Oct 28, 2014
    blog

    Will corn prices increase as freezing temps approach? 1

    Corn pulled higher by soymeal spot demand/logistics as freezing temps are forecast to show up this weekend....More
  • Oct 17, 2014
    blog

    Will weather in South American support soybean prices?

    Growth in supply has clearly outpaced growth in demand. It's going to take a little bit of time, but eventually I suspect the wrinkles get ironed out and prices start to stabilize (I just don't think we are there yet). Producers should remain patient, keeping all soybean hedges in place, and use any extended "geopolitical" or "weather" related rallies to reduce additional long-term risk....More
  • Sep 30, 2014
    blog

    Market surprise from grain stocks report?

    USDA released their September quarterly stocks report and the markets are lower across the board. No real surprises in my opinion! Some of you however might be surprised when you see the soybean market lower on sub-100 million ending stocks numbers....More
  • Sep 12, 2014
    blog

    Will soybean prices stabilize?

    As a producer I see nothing wrong starting to unwind a very small portion of your remaining soybean short hedges. The break has paid huge dividends and there is absolutely no need to get overly greedy....More
  • Aug 5, 2014
    blog

    Can soybeans transition to a bullish story?

    The soybean "technicians" are looking back at prices noticing that they are at the same levels as they were on July11th.  Many are also noting that a "key bullish reversal" could be building.  As I have mentioned over the past several reports, we are definitely in the midst of a major weather market, but we are also transitioning from a bullish old crop story to a potentially extremely bearish new crop story....More

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