More in Marketing and Promotion

  • Aug 1, 2014
    blog

    Weather helping soybean yield 2

    Several well respected sources think that we could see the current USDA bean yield estimate of 45.2bpa, be pushed higher by up 3-4%, meaning a 46.5bpa to 47bpa, may not be out of the question. A jump in yields that substantial could push ending stocks north of 500 million bushels and prices below $10.00....More
  • Jul 22, 2014
    blog

    Can soybean demand keep grain prices afloat? 2

    I suspect with Chinese demand staying strong, some definite uncertainties remaining in Argentina and the entire month of August still ahead of our U.S. crop, the trade may take a bit slower approach to reducing price-risk. Producers should continue to keep hedges in place. Any rally back towards the $11.00 to $11.30 range must be viewed as an opportunity to reduce longer-term risk....More
  • Jul 11, 2014
    blog

    Is it time to lock in propane prices? 4

    I continue to field calls from farmers asking about locking in propane prices. I think this is​ a​ very smart play and something I have definitely been recommending for the past couple of weeks, at least on ​a ​significant portion of your fall and winter needs. Personally, I think securing 70% of your estimated needs makes a lot of sense at these levels. ​ I am NOT saying we don't have the propane to meet our needs here in the US, because we do....More
  • Jul 9, 2014
    blog

    Make smart risk management moves when marketing soybeans 4

    Soybeans continue to try and break downhill slalom records (breaking over a $1.30 in the past 8 trading sessions) on thoughts of a mammoth new-crop coming down the pipe and talk that many U.S. crushers are claiming to have enough coverage to make it through August, possibly holding out until U.S. southern new-crop bushels hit the supply pipeline....More
  • Jun 24, 2014
    blog

    Soybeans continue to support the grain market 3

    It seems the soybean market has to deliver a spectacular performance each and every day or in general, the entire ag sector seems a bit disappointed. This bullish demeanor, or tilt to the market, in my opinion, has caused some traders to take several ill-advised shots on goal the past few months....More
  • Jun 13, 2014
    blog

    Market your old-crop corn bushels 1

    Dumping the old-crop bushels and holding off on any new-crop sales obviously makes the most sense. It creates cash-flow, frees up available storage and buys lots of additional time. Also with new-crop prices well below the spring revenue insurance guarantee of $4.62 per bushel, I see no real need to start making new-crop sales at this stage....More
  • Jun 6, 2014
    blog

    Are soybean cash markets telling a different story? 1

    Soybean bears are wondering if the cash markets might be telling a slightly different story than the balance sheet bulls are projecting. The bears are also thinking the USDA will revise last years soybean crop higher by some 15 to 25 million bushels. The question the bulls are asking is how much higher will domestic crush and export demand be raised?...More
  • May 28, 2014
    blog

    Soybeans: It's only when the tide goes out you discover who was swimming naked 1

    From what I am hearing most end-users are about 65-75% covered through July but have next to nothing done for August. Obviously everybody is hoping imports will help resolve the situation, but no one is clearly certain about how this game will end.    Soybean traders are digesting the fact the US planting pace is now AHEAD of our traditional average.  The USDA released data yesterday showing that 59% of the crop is now planted vs. 41% last year and 56% on average. In addition 25% of the crop is now "emerged" vs....More
  • May 23, 2014
    blog

    Argentina’s Peso In Trouble Again? Can the large Soybean surplus turn to a more concerning situation?

    Argentina’s peso has remained mostly stable since the end of March, but in the past few days, the country’s central bank (BRCA) has allowed it to start weakening again. This follows a steady reduction in interest rates that’s been ongoing for the last month, which now stands 26.9%, far below the inflation rate, which most analysts believe is close to 40%....More
  • May 21, 2014
    blog

    Corn Bulls point to less wheat feeding! Bears are circling the wagons. 1

    The bears are arguing this number is too high considering it hasn't been adjusted in months and therefore hasn't fairly taken into account the negative effects and impact of the...More
  • May 9, 2014
    blog

    Corn bulls demand story: Fundamentals versus logic 2

    From my perspective it's NOT traditional fundamental market logic that is dictating corn price direction but rather the rotation of money from various other forms of investments that have fallen out of favor....More
  • Apr 29, 2014
    blog

    How long will corn prices get a lift from slow planting? 1

    Corn planting pace lifts prices higher, will trend continue...More
  • Apr 1, 2014
    blog

    Will funds continue to push soybeans higher? 1

    I might be the odd man out on this, but I actually believe one saving grace might be the fact U.S. soybean acres move lower NOT higher. I just think with the rally in corn prices, many of the guys that were going to make the switch to more beans are going to go ahead and roll the corn again....More
  • Mar 18, 2014
    blog

    3 Keys to bullish soybean prices 1

    Crush numbers, Chinese demand and U.S. weather will push soybean prices above $14....More
  • Mar 11, 2014
    blog

    Will South America soybean issues push soybean prices higher? 3

    The Soy Bulls Have Been Running Hard...More
  • Feb 25, 2014
    blog

    Soybean bulls see South America crop getting smaller 1

    Soybean bulls are talking more extreme weather conditions in Brazil: dry conditions in some areas and flooding in others. Bottom-line, the trade seems to be flip flopping on production estimates....More
  • Feb 7, 2014
    blog

    Old-crop soybean rally could push prices 2

    I have lowered our next new-crop cash sale target down to to the $11.40 level. This might not be low enough, but with Chinese demand for old-crop supplies still being reported, there is an outside chance an extended old-crop rally could continue pulling us higher....More
  • Jan 21, 2014
    blog

    Record export pace will increase soybean prices 1

    Record pace will lead soybean prices higher...More
  • Nov 12, 2013
    blog

    Should you be making sales at these prices?? 1

    Before you get all bulled up.......More
  • Nov 5, 2013
    blog

    Will soybean prices improve? 1

    Is there still another round of price appreciation coming our direction??...More
  • Oct 25, 2013
    blog

    Where will soybean prices go from here? 1

    My gut tells me we will continue to stay fairly well supported......More
  • Oct 18, 2013
    blog

    Soybean yields in question 1

    Top 2 reasons why I do NOT believe U.S. soybean yields will move dramatically higher......More
  • Oct 8, 2013
    blog

    Government shutdown effect on corn, soybean prices 1

    Will the government default??...More
  • Oct 4, 2013
    blog

    Rain could cause harvest delays

    Several traders are thinking this could be a short-term "game-changer"........More
  • Sep 26, 2013
    blog

    South America weather needs to remain dry. 1

    Bottom-line, if you're hoping for a South American "weather rally," you need to be cheering for it to stay dry......More

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