More in Marketing and Promotion

  • May 8, 2015

    Can macro markets and U.S. dollar give soybean prices a bounce?

    Soybean traders seem to be keeping a close eye on the macro markets, particularly the direction of the U.S. dollar and the direction of crude oil. Market insiders continue to believe a weaker dollar and gains in crude oil will continue to add strength in the soybean market....More
  • May 1, 2015

    How high can corn prices go without a weather story?

    There's never been a crop year yet that didn't start off without concerns surrounding weather. The problem is, as of right now this doesn't equate to facts the bulls can use to build a case against the bears. In the courtroom of trading, the "what ifs" surrounding weather are simply considered hearsay and not permissible as actual evidence....More
  • Apr 28, 2015

    Are all the bearish cards out of the deck for soybeans?

    Soybean bears continue to think the slow planting pace of U.S. corn in the south and to the east will ultimately mean more soybean acres....More
  • Apr 24, 2015

    Global corn data could be more bullish

    Corn has backpedaled to fresh new six-month lows as bulls continue to talk about better-than-expected U.S. export demand and problematic planting weather. The primary concerns for the bulls continue to be conditions being too wet out east and to the south....More
  • Apr 17, 2015

    Are the cards stacked against the soybean market?

    Soybean bulls continue to talk about wet conditions in southern Brazil and many parts of Argentina. Their argument is it could delay harvest and create a bit more interest for U.S supplies. Be careful buying into this belief....More
  • Apr 10, 2015

    Is a bullish weather card still in the deck for corn?

    With the weather wild-card still floating around, I think best practice is to simply remain patient and wait for a move higher to reduce any additional new-crop or old-crop risk....More
  • Apr 7, 2015

    Will U.S. planting delays keep the bulls fed? 2

    Corn continues to trade in a sideways channel as both the bulls and bears defend their case. The bulls continue to talk about planting delays down South caused by conditions that are too wet, while those in the northern Corn Belt are talking about conditions being too dry....More
  • Mar 27, 2015

    Time to minimize risk and leave hedges in place

    Corn traders seem to be squaring up positions as we are now only a couple of days from the highly anticipated Prospective Planting Report and USDA Quarterly Stocks data....More
  • Mar 20, 2015

    Can South America news support soybean prices?

    Without the problematic political and labor headlines out of South America and no leverage from the weather at this point, soybean bulls are facing an increasingly tough uphill battle. Crush margins are drastically backpedaling here in the U.S., and South American exporters are clearly starting to get their legs underneath them....More
  • Mar 17, 2015

    Is U.S. weather, acreage uncertainty enough to push corn prices higher?

    There's really nothing excitingly bullish in the balance sheet, but the trade is eager to see what type of planting conditions U.S. producers will be forced to deal with. This uncertainty may temporarily prove to be enough to keep some type of price floor in place for new-crop contracts....More
  • Mar 10, 2015

    USDA WASDE report has bears and bulls jockeying for position in the corn market

    Corn continues to trade sideways and struggles to take out nearby technical resistance. The USDA numbers in the March 2015 WASDE report did little to change the current theme. Remember: it's early in the race and both the bullish and bearish traders are jockeying for inside position....More
  • Mar 6, 2015

    Will consolidation lead to a breakout for corn prices?

    Corn exports, along with overall demand, remain strong. There is some talk that basis levels in both Ukraine and Argentina are firming as farmer selling starts to taper off. Here at home, there's some talk the basis may weaken between now and the end of March as farmers need to free up cash to pay pre-season bills....More
  • Mar 3, 2015

    Is the soybean market headed for the bears?

    From a technical standpoint the market also looks as if it may be in jeopardy of building a more bearish formation. If political unrest is resolved in Brazil and the soybeans start moving more aggressively to the ports and if Chinese demand stays strong, old-crop prices could be subject to 50¢ or more of almost immediate downside pressure....More
  • Feb 20, 2015

    Will we see a bullish corn weather card?

    Corn traders seemed little surprised by the USDA's estimate of 89 million corn acres being planted in 2015 vs. the 90.6 million planted in 2014. More of a surprise might be by the continued strength in demand for the ethanol sector....More
  • Feb 17, 2015

    2 factors that could push corn prices higher

    Corn traders will be eager to hear the latest data released at the USDA Ag Forum scheduled for this Thursday and Friday. There will also likely be more traders paying closer attention to the planting progress of second-crop corn in Brazil....More
  • Feb 13, 2015

    Market dynamics to push soybean prices higher

    As I pointed out weeks ago, politics and logistics can often be more of an uncertainty in South America than actual production. As long as the world needs or is relying on South America for supplies, the trade could remain nervous....More
  • Feb 6, 2015

    The secret to improving your grain marketing

    Anybody can market $8 corn but it takes a great marketing plan to market $4 corn. Know your strengths and weaknesses; consistency is key to your corn and soybean marketing plan. Make a strong commitment to executing your marketing plan....More
  • Feb 3, 2015

    Does corn rally give us a chance to market old-crop bushels?

    Those producers who are still holding old-crop bushels need to be considering all the moving parts and specifics that apply to your particular area and situation. Make sure you are talking with your advisor about best-of-practice ways to be limiting your remaining downside risk....More
  • Jan 30, 2015

    Will lower crude oil prices increase soybean sales to China? 1

    I continue to believe the herd has taken on a "sell the rallies" type mentality. This will obviously keep a lid on prices and make getting back above $10 near-term a tough task....More
  • Jan 23, 2015

    Will strong corn exports push acres higher?

    On the supply side of the equation, most sources are talking about U.S. producers perhaps going back with more corn next year. The fall in soybean prices coupled with the new farm bill policy, corn has quickly become a more viable option....More
  • Jan 9, 2015

    Cutting through the details: My thoughts on Monday's USDA data dump

    Moral of the story, don't overthink this market and do not get overly convicted to your preconceived ideas or thoughts. This is simply about reducing your risk and turning a profit. The easier you can accomplish this goal the better your going to be....More
  • Dec 31, 2014

    Will the funds continue to place bullish bets on corn, soybeans?

    As a producer, I continue to hold out for slightly higher corn prices before pulling the trigger on additional sales. From a spec perspective, I prefer being a longer-term buyer on a deeper break. And I am sticking with the thought that higher soybean prices might be in our near-term future....More
  • Dec 15, 2014

    Why I believe corn, soybean prices will move higher 1

    When you get major "headline-risk" like we are seeing in the energy markets, coupled with lower than normal trade volume, all bets are off in regard to traditional fundamental rhyme and reason....More
  • Dec 5, 2014

    Will soybean demand push stocks lower?

    Soybeans enjoyed another week of better-than-expected export sales. In its wake the trade continues to believe the USDA will soon be forced to raise their current export estimates by 25 to 50 million. Hopefully we see this take place next Wednesday in the upcoming December USDA report....More
  • Nov 14, 2014

    Is South American weather worse than the soybean trade recognizes?

    As a producer I still want to remain patient. Don't be surprised or panicked though if we start to see the trade backpedal a bit as Chinese demand and U.S. rail lose a little sizzle....More

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