More in Marketing and Promotion

  • Feb 19, 2016
    Commentary

    Will USDA increase South America's corn production?

    Corn bears continue to argue that second-crop corn production in Brazil is improving and that the USDA might eventually need to bump their total Brazilian corn crop production estimate higher by 2-3 MMTs....More
  • Feb 12, 2016
    blog

    Why are the corn and weather bulls backpedaling?

    Corn bulls were again disappointed by weekly U.S. export sales. This already has some wondering if the USDA will ultimately need to further reduce their latest estimate....More
  • Feb 9, 2016
    blog

    Can meal demand drive the soybean market higher?

    meal demand to lead soybean market higher, high protein in high demand...More
  • Feb 5, 2016
    blog

    Still betting on unknowns for the corn market?

    I remain nervous about the outside macro space, slowing global growth and the fallout in crude oil. The "weather bull" inside us all continues give hope, but have to realistically ask yourself, "How much am I willing to bet on that unknown?"...More
  • Jan 29, 2016
    blog

    Will weather offer upside potential for the corn market?

    Corn bulls continue to talk about the very real possibility for extreme weather during the upcoming U.S. season, and I'm hearing more weather gurus talk about the rapidly declining El Niño, and the disruptions that could follow in it's wake....More
  • Jan 22, 2016
    blog

    Is there any optimism in the soybean market?

    Soybean bulls continue to talk about fundamental weather uncertainties in many parts of Brazil and now a few areas inside Argentina. The much larger macro bears continue to point toward weaker currency in comparison to the U.S. dollar....More
  • Jan 15, 2016
    blog

    Corn prices stay in tight range

    Corn continues to trade in an extremely tight range as neither the U.S. crop or the highly important second-crop of Brazil are in the ground. In other words, there's not a lot of "weather" in the headlines to excite the bulls....More
  • Jan 12, 2016
    blog

    USDA reports excite the soybean market

    Soybean bulls were happy to see lower ending stocks! Many in the trade thought we could see an increase from the record large yield of 48.3 bpa raised another .5 bpa with this month's report. The USDA, in somewhat of a surprise move, lowered yields to 48.0 bpa, although still a record....More
  • Jan 5, 2016
    blog

    Be patient with the corn market

    As a producer, I still believe we could see another leg lower in price, but doubt the trade makes many bold moves until it fully digests the USDA end-of-year data scheduled for release on January 12....More
  • Dec 18, 2015
    blog

    Can South American weather, politics push soybean prices higher?

    It's all about South American weather and politics right now, two headlines that remain extremely unpredictable. Will those factors boost soybean prices?...More
  • Dec 11, 2015
    blog

    Will South America news support soybean prices?

    Soybean bulls remain optimistic in regard to a possible "producer" tax-credit coming down the pipe for biodiesel. They are also hoping U.S. exports can repeat this past weeks stronger than expected performance and close the gap a bit more in regard to total export sales....More
  • Dec 4, 2015
    blog

    Is there a strong chance for higher corn prices?

    Corn catches a bit of tailwind on a huge backstroke by the U.S. dollar and strength in the wheat market. Unfortunately flat-price is only up about 10¢ on the week and the market still continues to chop around in a sideways channel near the lower end of the range....More
  • Nov 24, 2015
    blog

    How South America Will Impact the Bean Market

    Soybean bulls are arguing it's going to be much tougher than the bears think for newly elected Argentine President Macri to make any type of quick impact on the market. I hear there's some real confusion surrounding the Argentine Central Bank and their current "peso vs. dollar" liquidity....More
  • Nov 20, 2015
    blog

    Do your homework to bank corn profits

    Corn bears are pointing to what appears to be a mild forecasts for the U.S. winter. On the other hand, the bulls are talking about how lack of snowfall and moisture this winter could perhaps leave several key growing regions begging for water into early-spring planting....More
  • Nov 13, 2015
    blog

    Corn's "risk to reward" potential

    Without a major weather story out of South America or some type of unforeseen bullish geopolitical event, I suspect the bears will simply remain up to bat and the cycle of lower-highs and lower-lows will continue....More
  • Nov 6, 2015
    blog

    Build a long-term bullish strategy for soybeans

    Soybean bears continue to point toward a fresh NEW record yield being harvested here in the U.S., eventually moving beyond 47.5 bushels per acre. There's also more heavy talk among the bearish crowd that the Argentine presidential election is swaying more toward the conservative challenger Mauricio Macri....More
  • Oct 30, 2015
    blog

    Where are the signs of life for corn bulls?

    Corn prices were around $3.80 per bushel in mid-August, in mid-September and again in October. There's just not a lot of momentum on either side. From now to year-end it'll be hard to breakout of the $3.50-4.10 range....More
  • Oct 23, 2015
    blog

    Can the bulls take over the soybean market?

    The soybean bulls are pointing to "unknowns" associated with weather, extreme geopolitical risk floating around inside Argentina and Brazil, and what appears to be very strong soy demand still coming from the Chinese....More
  • Oct 20, 2015
    blog

    Are there bullish cards for corn?

    As long as this U.S. production debate stays in the spotlight, corn prices may continue to feel pressured. In fact many technical gurus think it's only a matter of time until we re-test major support down in the $3.50 to $3.60 range....More
  • Oct 16, 2015
    blog

    Is it time to get on the bullish soybean bandwagon?

    As a producer I'm simply going to stay patient and hope some additional weather headlines can provide enough momentum to breakout to the upside. As a spec I still think the NOV15 contract has a better chance of seeing an $8.50 type print than it does something north of $10.00....More
  • Oct 13, 2015
    blog

    The "unknown" bet comes through for soybeans

    Soybean bulls want to contend that global demand is improving to some degree and that most all of the bearish news has now been factored into the current price. Meaning the trade is well aware of the fact the U.S. yield is now much better than anticipated a few months back....More
  • Oct 9, 2015
    blog

    Soybean prices rally after USDA data dump

    The trade found the USDA soybean acreage reduction very favorable and pushed soybean prices 14¢ higher before selling off to just 4¢ higher. It is somewhat positive that soybeans stayed in the green, even with massive global production numbers thrown out today....More
  • Oct 6, 2015
    blog

    Bullish help from USDA could move soybean prices upward

    If you're hoping for soybean prices to move to the upside, from my perspective it's going to take some bullish help from the USDA on Friday or increasingly heavy rains in South America. Unfortunately neither are a guarantee!...More
  • Oct 2, 2015
    blog

    This corn market requires mental toughness

    As producers we've learned through the years that slowly grinding lower prices are often the most psychologically challenging and painful to sit through. Make certain you are mentally preparing yourself or taking the appropriate actions to avoid the struggles. I continue to believe best practice is to keep all hedges in place....More
  • Sep 29, 2015
    blog

    Can corn prices break through macro head winds?

    Corn continues to run into heavy resistance on the charts each time it tries to advance between $3.85 and $4.05 per bushel. Extreme macro commodity head winds around the globe also continue to work against the bullish players....More

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