More in Marketing

  • Jul 5, 2016
    blog

    What bullish wild cards are left for the soybean market?

    Soybean traders continue to aggressively doubt the balance sheet. The bulls are saying despite the USDA forecasting a new record number of soybean acres being planted, 83.7 million, we could still be looking at ending stocks sub-200 million....More
  • Jul 5, 2016
    blog

    Latest acreage report shows increase in corn, soybeans

    The June USDA Acreage Report is always highly anticipated, because it becomes the first hard data after the March USDA Plantings Intentions Report to give an indication of crop production levels in a given growing season, as of June 1....More
  • Jul 5, 2016
    blog

    Brexit impacts on the ag economy

    Welcome to the wild world of global economics and politics complete with advanced technologies and constant information! This environment will create havoc and mayhem; but more importantly, opportunities for those who plan, execute and monitor....More
  • Jun 29, 2016
    blog

    Soybean prices remain extremely volatile

    The soybean market is extremely uncertain about a number of important headlines, both international and domestic, from South America acreage to U.S. planting, La Niña and exports. I have to imagine we will see extreme price swings during the next 60 days....More
  • Jun 24, 2016
    blog

    Britain's fallout is impacting soybean prices 1

    Soybeans, similar to corn, are feeling the fallout from commodities across the board being pressured by the British fallout and the strength of the U.S. dollar. The bulls have been backpedaling aggressively all week, as prices are now down close to $1 per bushel from last week's high....More
  • Jun 14, 2016
    blog

    Weather wild cards for the corn market

    Corn producers in several locations are talking about extremely warm temperatures and early-planted corn starting to show a bit of stress out in the fields. Obviously this has the bulls thinking about possible production cuts by the USDA coming in the next 30 days....More
  • Jun 10, 2016
    blog

    Bullish and bearish, see how the latest USDA report breaks down

    The June 2016 WASDE report was fairly as expected. Corn data is somewhat as expected, with the bulls looking for slightly larger increases in demand. Soybeans are holding their gains on across the board bullish data delivered by the USDA....More
  • Jun 3, 2016
    blog

    New dynamics in the soybean market

    Soybean traders are talking about the possibility of a blow-off top in the front end of the soybean market. I'm not so sure about that. As I've been saying for weeks, the funds don't want to give up their front-end positioning as a large amount of the length is tied to various "cross-hedging" strategies trying to protect larger macro uncertainty and billions of dollars at risk in South America....More
  • May 31, 2016
    blog

    Stick with your long-term soybean risk-management plan

    From where I sit, the new-crop NOV16 contract and a U.S. weather story are simply icing on the cake, but certainly not of their primary interest or concern, hence the reason I believe a larger portion than we think, stay "front-end" centric....More
  • May 27, 2016
    blog

    Be careful betting on the obvious in the soybean market

    Despite a soybean meal price rally, possibility of a large 2017 South American crop and possibility of a La Niña, Kevin Van Trump urges farmers to use caution when betting on what seems obvious in the soybean market....More
  • May 24, 2016
    blog

    Why the US dollar and weather will drive the corn market

    I personally believe we are at serious inflection point in the corn market. I hate to sound like a politician, but I can easily argue both sides of the market and present convincing bullish and bearish cases for corn prices....More
  • May 20, 2016
    blog

    Bullish and bearish debates around soybean price

    Soybean bears were happy to see yesterday's break in price, but we are still trading close to 15¢ above the $10.63 open posted on Monday. The bulls continue to talk about complications in Argentina and a crop in Brazil that appears to be getting a bit smaller....More
  • May 16, 2016
    blog

    WASDE report moves soybean prices higher

    . The May report showed slightly lower corn ending stocks for 2015-16, and significantly lower soybean ending stocks, as compared to the April Report. Corn stocks are expected to show a 19 percent increase by the end of the 2016-17 marketing year, while the ending stocks for soybeans are expected to decrease by 24 percent during that time....More
  • May 13, 2016
    blog

    Corn, soybean prices catch tailwinds from USDA report

    Corn bulls caught a bit of tailwind off the "limit-up" trading in the soy complex. The USDA made production cuts to both the Argentina and Brazilian corn crops, and arguably released a slightly less-bearish-than-expected stocks number....More
  • May 6, 2016
    blog

    Marketing plan execution is more important than strategy right now

    Make certain you're spending as much time improving execution as you are your strategy. As the markets look to be picking up speed and volatility in the years ahead I suspect the execution side of the equation may start to pay larger dividends....More
  • May 3, 2016
    blog

    Will planting pace keep a lid on corn prices?

    Corn traders continue to monitor South American weather, Chinese policy, Brazilian politics and the pace of U.S. planting. Really nothing has changed much in the past 24 hours....More
  • Apr 29, 2016
    blog

    Will higher soybean prices stick around long enough to make some sales?

    Soybean producers were given another opportunity to reduce risk as the market traded back near recent highs. As a producer I've been able to reduce a lot of our new-crop production risk on the recent run-up in price. Now I want to wait and see if any of these dominos fall in the right direction before making my next move....More

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