More in Marketing

  • Nov 13, 2015
    blog

    Corn's "risk to reward" potential

    Without a major weather story out of South America or some type of unforeseen bullish geopolitical event, I suspect the bears will simply remain up to bat and the cycle of lower-highs and lower-lows will continue....More
  • Nov 6, 2015
    blog

    Build a long-term bullish strategy for soybeans

    Soybean bears continue to point toward a fresh NEW record yield being harvested here in the U.S., eventually moving beyond 47.5 bushels per acre. There's also more heavy talk among the bearish crowd that the Argentine presidential election is swaying more toward the conservative challenger Mauricio Macri....More
  • Oct 30, 2015
    blog

    Where are the signs of life for corn bulls?

    Corn prices were around $3.80 per bushel in mid-August, in mid-September and again in October. There's just not a lot of momentum on either side. From now to year-end it'll be hard to breakout of the $3.50-4.10 range....More
  • Oct 23, 2015
    blog

    Can the bulls take over the soybean market?

    The soybean bulls are pointing to "unknowns" associated with weather, extreme geopolitical risk floating around inside Argentina and Brazil, and what appears to be very strong soy demand still coming from the Chinese....More
  • Oct 20, 2015
    blog

    Are there bullish cards for corn?

    As long as this U.S. production debate stays in the spotlight, corn prices may continue to feel pressured. In fact many technical gurus think it's only a matter of time until we re-test major support down in the $3.50 to $3.60 range....More
  • Oct 16, 2015
    blog

    Is it time to get on the bullish soybean bandwagon?

    As a producer I'm simply going to stay patient and hope some additional weather headlines can provide enough momentum to breakout to the upside. As a spec I still think the NOV15 contract has a better chance of seeing an $8.50 type print than it does something north of $10.00....More
  • Oct 13, 2015
    blog

    The "unknown" bet comes through for soybeans

    Soybean bulls want to contend that global demand is improving to some degree and that most all of the bearish news has now been factored into the current price. Meaning the trade is well aware of the fact the U.S. yield is now much better than anticipated a few months back....More
  • Oct 9, 2015
    blog

    Soybean prices rally after USDA data dump

    The trade found the USDA soybean acreage reduction very favorable and pushed soybean prices 14¢ higher before selling off to just 4¢ higher. It is somewhat positive that soybeans stayed in the green, even with massive global production numbers thrown out today....More
  • Oct 6, 2015
    blog

    Bullish help from USDA could move soybean prices upward

    If you're hoping for soybean prices to move to the upside, from my perspective it's going to take some bullish help from the USDA on Friday or increasingly heavy rains in South America. Unfortunately neither are a guarantee!...More
  • Oct 6, 2015
    blog

    Final 2014 market year average prices announced

    The final 2014 MYA prices announced by the National Ag Statistics Service (NASS) were $3.70 per bushel for corn, and $10.10 per bushel for soybeans. These are the MYA prices that will be used across the United States on a county basis to determine if corn and soybean producers are eligible for a 2014 ARC-CO payment in October....More
  • Oct 2, 2015
    blog

    This corn market requires mental toughness

    As producers we've learned through the years that slowly grinding lower prices are often the most psychologically challenging and painful to sit through. Make certain you are mentally preparing yourself or taking the appropriate actions to avoid the struggles. I continue to believe best practice is to keep all hedges in place....More
  • Sep 29, 2015
    blog

    Can corn prices break through macro head winds?

    Corn continues to run into heavy resistance on the charts each time it tries to advance between $3.85 and $4.05 per bushel. Extreme macro commodity head winds around the globe also continue to work against the bullish players....More
  • Sep 25, 2015
    blog

    China and Brazil take control of the soybean market

    Soybean bulls were happy to see China, the world's top soybean importer, sign a commitment letter to buy 13.18 million metric tons. This was obviously a welcomed event, especially when you consider last year the Chinese delegation agreed to buy just 4.8 million tons....More
  • Sep 18, 2015
    blog

    Soybeans prices could be a surprise winner

    With global demand for soy fairly stable at this level and continued political uncertainty brewing in Argentina and Brazil, I'm going to stay patient in regard to reducing more new-crop risk. From a spec perspective, I like the thought of buying a deep break....More
  • Sep 16, 2015
    blog

    Will Fed's move support the corn market?

    There's a lot of talk that corn might take several runs to break-through the $3.95 to $4.05 area vs. the DEC15 contract. There's also talk that the funds have been covering some of their short positions in several markets as they try to lighten up the load ahead of the uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move on Thursday....More
  • Sep 11, 2015
    blog

    USDA info provides tailwinds for corn prices

    Corn has rallied a bit this week ahead of what some inside the trade are thinking could be bullish adjustments by the USDA. Technically I still see heavy resistance up in the $3.85 to $4.05 range and believe it will be tough for corn prices to stay above this area until more harvest details become available...More

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