Larry Stalcup

Larry
Stalcup
Articles
Seek market rallies 1

Nebraska’s David Grimes believes there will eventually be sale opportunities on corn or soybean rallies, even though prices are lower than they’ve been in several years. A $4.50 cash corn price will get him interested. So will $11 cash soybeans.

Time to sell new-crop soybeans? 1

In a move not often seen, old-crop soybean futures have caught fire and boosted new-crop prices. The result is a strong pricing opportunity for farmers looking for some early sales, says Mark Gold, a Chicago marketing analyst.

Corn price risk management a must 1

“Risk management – you will not survive without it.” That warning came from Randy Blach, CEO of CattleFax, at the recent National Cattlemen’s Beef Association convention in Nashville, Tenn. Even though the message was aimed at beef producers, Blach says it is also advice for farmers, who face corn and soybean markets as volatile as those for cattle.

Watch global impact on soybean prices

The “good times” across the world are among forces that have helped push new-crop November 2014 soybean futures below $11 per bushel.

Wait for $5 corn?

Considering where corn was not that long ago, Jason Moss frowns at prices on the futures market and at his local elevator. And he’s thankful he got about 40% of his expected crop booked early at near $5.50 per bushel when demand was still high, supply was low and markets were hot.

Hope that corn futures history repeats itself

If you’re pondering what price you’ll receive for corn this fall, you probably hope history of December 2014 corn futures repeats itself. But just in case, consider pricing a small amount of your anticipated production now, advises a Texas A&M Extension economist.

2014 grain marketing approach

With low corn prices and soybeans nothing to brag about, develop a 2014 marketing plan that prepares you for any good marketing opportunities that develop. Here are tips for developing that plan.

Soybean prices strong, even with foreign pressure

Good weather patterns in Argentine soybean growing areas have created downward pressure for new-crop futures prices. But old-crop beans remain strong thanks to good export sales.

Corn prices stay above $4, despite Chinese refusal

Corn futures prices remain above $4 despite the good U.S. crop and reports that U.S. corn exports are being turned away by China.

Higher soybean acres in 2014?

The current support seen in soybean futures prices is an indication that farmers will plant more soybean acres and fewer corn acres for 2014, says Bob Maurer, market analyst and co-founder of Manduca Trading LLC in Chicago.

What’s your corn basis?

Market basis levels are all over the board in big corn areas, despite a futures corn price around $4. “Farmers often have a sense of loyalty to their local elevator,” says Kevin Dhuyvetter. “But they should be willing to do a little bit of shopping around. Basis can jump more than we might think.”

Expect lower soybean prices 1

With a good U.S. soybean harvest nearly complete and South America production on a roll, cash soybean prices below $11 per bushel may be the norm next year and beyond, said Chad Hart, Iowa State University Extension crop markets specialist. Hart said Friday that growers should consider locking in higher soybean prices when brief rallies occur because “it looks like the market is digging in.”

Risky accumulator contracts might work for 2014 grain trades

“With corn prices where they are compared to last year, we’ll probably see more accumulators used for 2014,” says Ron Groskreutz, grain originator, Heartland Co-op, headquartered in Des Moines, Iowa. “But you don’t want to be oversold. A good rule of thumb still applies; sell one-third before planting, one-third while it’s growing and one-third after harvest.”

Good U.S. meat export demand should help corn prices

As corn harvest hits about 50% completion this week, reports that U.S. meat exports remain strong should help support corn prices that are always under pressure as combines roll.

Track global impact on soybean prices

With new-crop soybean futures at about $12.70/bu. and higher than any trading months through November 2014, there are limited market incentives for farmers to “hold and store” soybeans for later sale, says Dan O’Brien, Kansas State University Extension grain economist. But with supply and demand issues coming from all directions worldwide, that doesn’t mean there won’t be opportunities to ride markets up next year.

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