Grain Market Viewpoint

Weather helping soybean yield

The trade continues to focus on the U.S. weather updates that continue to look more and more favorable, as we look out into the first couple weeks of August. The weather has remained cool but the moisture has been limited up until the latest reports. Most were thinking that if we could get at least two rains during this time frame that we would see yields continue to increase.  With the latest forecast updates, the rains look to be more consistent and widespread then what we were expecting just over the past few days.  

Now, we are hearing more and more, that these recent cool temps possibly could help the soybeans add to their yields as the growing process is slowed down, similar to what we experienced with corn over the past few weeks.  For most, July 2014, will go down as one of the coolest on record and the effects that it has on grain production could be unprecedented.  

Will it relate to record yields, for both corn and beans like most anticipate?  Several well respected sources think that we could see the current USDA bean yield estimate of 45.2bpa, be pushed higher by up 3-4%, meaning a 46.5bpa to 47bpa, may not be out of the question.  A jump in yields that substantial could push ending stocks north of 500 million bushels and prices below $10.00.  As a producer, we have to make sure to be prepared for such a situation.  What about the additional yields that many will have?  Make sure that these bushels are also protected.  We see the bean market continue to be under pressure, as these rains come to fruition.  CLICK HERE for all my grain comments....

Discuss this Blog Entry 2

on Aug 8, 2014

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on Aug 15, 2014

Weather could be of great factor in soybean yield. Well, they are very lucky to have a beautiful weather. - Weathershield Reviews

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Kevin Van Trump

Kevin is a leading expert in Agricultural marketing and analysis, he also produces an award-winning and world-recognized daily industry Ag wire called "The Van Trump Report." With over 20...
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