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Game Change: Grain prices falling 

  • Jun 26, 2015
    blog

    What's ahead of the USDA report for corn and soybeans?

    The soybean story has become much sexier than it was in late May and or early June. Not only is U.S. weather more of a concern, but there is also more talk that the USDA may have overestimated last years production. The corn bulls report too much moisture in many locations is causing shallow root systems and loss of nitrogen. The corn bears continue to talk about the possibility of the USDA delivering a couple of bearish blows in the form of increased planted acreage and record setting quarterly stocks....More
  • Jun 16, 2015
    blog

    3 Factors pointing to less soybean acres

    As a producers, I believe the best-of-practice is to remain patient and keep all hedges in place. Yes, there could be some upside movement as thoughts about acres are readjusted, but I'm just not sure we can sustain much of a longer-term upside rally without some type of more negative headlines out of South America....More
  • Jun 9, 2015
    blog

    Is the top end of corn yield already clipped?

    corn yields, wet conditions, weather...More
  • Jun 9, 2015
    blog

    Low corn, soybean prices challenge farmers

    The consistently high cash price levels for corn and soybeans from 2011-2013 made grain marketing decisions pretty easy for many producers. By contrast, grain marketing decisions in 2014 and 2015 have become much more difficult, with continued declining prices that are sometimes below breakeven levels. The current scenario for grain prices makes it more important than ever for farm operators to have a solid grain marketing plan in place, which is part of an overall farm risk management strategy....More
  • May 29, 2015
    blog

    Will stars align for higher corn prices?

    Corn bulls are happy to see both old-crop and new-crop prices hold technical support just above our previous harvest lows. In fact some tech guru's are starting to talk about a possible double-bottom now forming on the charts and corn prices moving back to higher ground. I understand their logic, but I'm not 100% onboard, especially when you start to consider the overall trade environment....More
  • May 26, 2015
    blog

    Will on-farm storage be the Achilles heel for corn?

    Corn traders this afternoon will be digesting the latest weekly USDA crop-condition estimates. Most inside the trade believe at least 90% of the corn crop is now planted with a very large percentage actually emerged, both running ahead of schedule. Perhaps even more impressive is the fact 77% or more of the U.S. corn crop could be considered in good-to-excellent condition....More
  • May 22, 2015
    blog

    Will the corn upside opportunity come later in the game?

    Corn exports remain stronger than many inside the trade had anticipated despite the strength in the U.S. dollar. Just keep in mind we will still more than likely export about 5% less corn than we did last year....More
  • May 12, 2015
    blog

    Has the game changed for soybeans?

    Soybeans remain fundamentally bearish as U.S. planting is reported at 31% complete, and well ahead of the 5-year 20% average. As a producer I'm content on staying patient and waiting for a move back above $10.00. As a spec I like the sideline!...More

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