More in Marketing

  • Jul 10, 2015
    blog

    USDA adjusts corn, soybean ending stocks; prices react

    USDA Lowers ending stocks for corn and beans, Corn and bean prices go higher as pipeline of grain shrinks, USDA lowers last years crop,...More
  • Jul 7, 2015
    blog

    Will the USDA lower soybean yields in July supply and demand report?

    Soybean bears were happy to see overall soybean crop conditions left unchanged at 63% good/excellent. The bulls, however, are arguing there are still an estimated 14 million soybean acres at risk if you include all the unplanted acres (still over 3 million), those planted but not yet emerged, and those acres which are currently in poor/very poor condition....More
  • Jun 26, 2015
    blog

    What's ahead of the USDA report for corn and soybeans?

    The soybean story has become much sexier than it was in late May and or early June. Not only is U.S. weather more of a concern, but there is also more talk that the USDA may have overestimated last years production. The corn bulls report too much moisture in many locations is causing shallow root systems and loss of nitrogen. The corn bears continue to talk about the possibility of the USDA delivering a couple of bearish blows in the form of increased planted acreage and record setting quarterly stocks....More
  • Jun 16, 2015
    blog

    3 Factors pointing to less soybean acres

    As a producers, I believe the best-of-practice is to remain patient and keep all hedges in place. Yes, there could be some upside movement as thoughts about acres are readjusted, but I'm just not sure we can sustain much of a longer-term upside rally without some type of more negative headlines out of South America....More
  • Jun 9, 2015
    blog

    Is the top end of corn yield already clipped?

    corn yields, wet conditions, weather...More
  • Jun 9, 2015
    blog

    Low corn, soybean prices challenge farmers

    The consistently high cash price levels for corn and soybeans from 2011-2013 made grain marketing decisions pretty easy for many producers. By contrast, grain marketing decisions in 2014 and 2015 have become much more difficult, with continued declining prices that are sometimes below breakeven levels. The current scenario for grain prices makes it more important than ever for farm operators to have a solid grain marketing plan in place, which is part of an overall farm risk management strategy....More
  • May 29, 2015
    blog

    Will stars align for higher corn prices?

    Corn bulls are happy to see both old-crop and new-crop prices hold technical support just above our previous harvest lows. In fact some tech guru's are starting to talk about a possible double-bottom now forming on the charts and corn prices moving back to higher ground. I understand their logic, but I'm not 100% onboard, especially when you start to consider the overall trade environment....More
  • May 26, 2015
    blog

    Will on-farm storage be the Achilles heel for corn?

    Corn traders this afternoon will be digesting the latest weekly USDA crop-condition estimates. Most inside the trade believe at least 90% of the corn crop is now planted with a very large percentage actually emerged, both running ahead of schedule. Perhaps even more impressive is the fact 77% or more of the U.S. corn crop could be considered in good-to-excellent condition....More
  • May 22, 2015
    blog

    Will the corn upside opportunity come later in the game?

    Corn exports remain stronger than many inside the trade had anticipated despite the strength in the U.S. dollar. Just keep in mind we will still more than likely export about 5% less corn than we did last year....More
  • May 12, 2015
    blog

    Has the game changed for soybeans?

    Soybeans remain fundamentally bearish as U.S. planting is reported at 31% complete, and well ahead of the 5-year 20% average. As a producer I'm content on staying patient and waiting for a move back above $10.00. As a spec I like the sideline!...More
  • May 8, 2015
    blog

    Can macro markets and U.S. dollar give soybean prices a bounce?

    Soybean traders seem to be keeping a close eye on the macro markets, particularly the direction of the U.S. dollar and the direction of crude oil. Market insiders continue to believe a weaker dollar and gains in crude oil will continue to add strength in the soybean market....More
  • May 1, 2015
    blog

    How high can corn prices go without a weather story?

    There's never been a crop year yet that didn't start off without concerns surrounding weather. The problem is, as of right now this doesn't equate to facts the bulls can use to build a case against the bears. In the courtroom of trading, the "what ifs" surrounding weather are simply considered hearsay and not permissible as actual evidence....More
  • Apr 28, 2015
    blog

    Are all the bearish cards out of the deck for soybeans?

    Soybean bears continue to think the slow planting pace of U.S. corn in the south and to the east will ultimately mean more soybean acres....More
  • Apr 24, 2015
    blog

    Global corn data could be more bullish

    Corn has backpedaled to fresh new six-month lows as bulls continue to talk about better-than-expected U.S. export demand and problematic planting weather. The primary concerns for the bulls continue to be conditions being too wet out east and to the south....More
  • Apr 17, 2015
    blog

    Are the cards stacked against the soybean market?

    Soybean bulls continue to talk about wet conditions in southern Brazil and many parts of Argentina. Their argument is it could delay harvest and create a bit more interest for U.S supplies. Be careful buying into this belief....More
  • Apr 10, 2015
    blog

    Is a bullish weather card still in the deck for corn?

    With the weather wild-card still floating around, I think best practice is to simply remain patient and wait for a move higher to reduce any additional new-crop or old-crop risk....More
  • Apr 7, 2015
    blog

    Will U.S. planting delays keep the bulls fed? 2

    Corn continues to trade in a sideways channel as both the bulls and bears defend their case. The bulls continue to talk about planting delays down South caused by conditions that are too wet, while those in the northern Corn Belt are talking about conditions being too dry....More
  • Apr 7, 2015
    blog

    March USDA report recap

    The large amount of corn and soybean bushels in on-farm storage, much of which is probably not priced, will likely make the grain market trends in the next few months very important for selling the remaining inventories, as well as for pricing the “new crop” 2015 corn and soybeans....More
  • Apr 2, 2015
    video
    Corn+Soybean Digest

    Acreage report and planting impact on corn, soybean prices

    We need to take the acreage report with some caution, says Sterling Liddell, vice president, food and agribusiness research, Rabo AgriFinance. In the USDA acreage report released March 31, corn acres weren't a bullish surprise, and soybeans were, he says, but the report is a baseline going forward....More

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