More in Marketing

  • Feb 25, 2014
    blog

    Soybean bulls see South America crop getting smaller 1

    Soybean bulls are talking more extreme weather conditions in Brazil: dry conditions in some areas and flooding in others. Bottom-line, the trade seems to be flip flopping on production estimates....More
  • Feb 25, 2014
    blog

    Looming price risk ahead for corn, soybeans 2

    A year ago at this time, the local cash corn price in southern Minnesota was near $7 per bushel, compared to slightly over $4 per bushel in late February this year. This is lowest cash corn price in late February since 2010. In recent years, we kind of got drawn into a mentality that corn prices of $5-7 per bushel were the “new normal,” rather than a temporary price upswing; however, that type of thinking could change quite dramatically in the coming years. Farm operators need to start planning now for much lower crop price levels in the coming years....More
  • Feb 13, 2014
    blog

    Could the bulls come out for corn? 1

    A simple 5-10% reduction in corn yields from the 165 trend-line estimate and we are moving new-crop prices to higher ground. I am always amazed at how a simple 6-7% reduction in yield could mean a 40% plus swing to the upside in price. I know its optimistic, but rather than choking on $3.90 corn perhaps we can enjoy chewing on $5.50 corn?...More
  • Feb 11, 2014
    blog

    ABCs to watch for soybeans 1

    Keep and eye on the ABCs of soybeans this week: Argentina, Brazil and China. After the recent USDA WASDE report, production estimates were lowered in Argentina for both corn and soybeans. Weather in Brazil prompts questions about whether production estimates will be lowered in the future. And increased Chinese production, along with lower in-country demand, offers the question of continued demand for imports....More
  • Feb 11, 2014
    blog

    USDA WASDE report lowers corn supply 1

    On Feb. 10, USDA released the latest World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Report, which showed slight decrease in the expected U.S. corn ending stocks for 2013-14, compared to the January estimates. On-farm prices for both corn and soybeans were increased a bit from last month's report....More
  • Feb 7, 2014
    blog

    Old-crop soybean rally could push prices 2

    I have lowered our next new-crop cash sale target down to to the $11.40 level. This might not be low enough, but with Chinese demand for old-crop supplies still being reported, there is an outside chance an extended old-crop rally could continue pulling us higher....More
  • Jan 28, 2014
    blog

    South America Issues Support Bean Prices…. 1

    Soybean were higher on export inspections being stronger than expected. This signals that Chinese demand remains strong as well as squelching any rumors of cargoes switching to South America. Still, soybeans are hovering just above a four-month low pressured by investors trying to make heads-or-tails of the Brazilian crop....More
  • Jan 21, 2014
    blog

    Record export pace will increase soybean prices 1

    Record pace will lead soybean prices higher...More
  • Jan 14, 2014
    blog

    Corn debate after the USDA report 2

    The Bulls vs. Bears in the Corn market...More
  • Jan 14, 2014
    blog

    January 2014 USDA report summary

    As expected, the USDA Crop Production Report released on Jan. 10 indicates that the total U.S. corn production for 2013 will increase significantly, and the 2013 soybean production will increase moderately, as compared to production levels in 2012....More
  • Dec 27, 2013
    blog

    Can corn demand push prices higher? 1

    Corn prices (despite strong exports and ethanol) continue their downhill struggle, as price in the MAR14 contract has still not traded above $4.50 since late October....More

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